This was true with 2016 election coverage. Clinton's polling lead was flimsy if you looked at it rigorously (Trump within margin of error, Electoral College problems in Midwest, lots of undecideds, volatile race). But a lot of news outlets didn't scratch beneath the surface.https://twitter.com/saletan/status/942099208781299712 …
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Also I worry that the "normal polling error away" doesn't convey the serious implications enough.
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It's closer than "Hillary's definitely gonna win cuz the polling is really robust"
End of conversation
New conversation -
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Also, humans are shit with probabilities.
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