What are some good counterexamples? I have moment.js, lodash and d3.
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By a counter example, you mean: a very popular library that stayed popular for 5 years?
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Yes, and where competition wasn't necessary to address deficiencies.
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Express has been astonishingly durable.
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Also many of the lower level, early libraries have no competition because they are just great. async, qs, and mkdirp aren't going anywhere.
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In general I agree that almost no tech has a peak popularity greater than 10 years. However, I don't see "de facto standard" as a barrier.
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If being considered a standard was a real barrier to competition then we would see longer lives for these things.
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The real barrier to competition is the overwhelming volume of use cases and edge cases a popular library grows to cover.
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I don't think that can be true. Many of these things are themselves rather small. The use cases are perceived to be covered via "adoption"
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The search for universal solutions means every generation has another relatively small tool and few domain-specific tools.
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Really what I'm advocating for is fewer universal tools (or perceived universal tools) and more tools appropriate for a domain.
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