I'm surprised at how much people took that talk seriously. It was a funny joke but not that insightful ;)
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I've seen it cited multiple times to make real arguments I disagree with.
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there's in particular trick he pulled that is basically the entire misdirection. He introduced a 1/
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"war" so he wouldn't have to explain how the accurate stuff he was describing from the world of 2013 2/
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plausibly links to his wildly implausible and very wrong in almost every way future world. 3/3
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the jokes about 2013, told in a future context, and with the cute YavaScript "it's from the future" 1/
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style make his future predictions appear more plausible. The part that bothers me is his extreme 2/
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pessimism about the progress of standards over the coming decades. We've already exceeded his 3/
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pessimism in only a few years. And I don't think the pessimism serves us well at all. 4/4
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