I know we disagree here, but I genuinely think no one knows anything about PL adoption (except that everyone hates lisp :).
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the health of long-term ecosystems is just adoption over time; same rules apply.
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you can see, for example, that Python's long-term health mirrors adoption failure
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Python is wildly successful by any measure...
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and despite python 3 slashback, python (2!) is incredibly resilient
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resilient but not growing (and probably shrinking)
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do you have numbers? Everything I see points to it being healthy
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what metrics do you use? TIOBE is junk science.
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