Right, but in terms of their accuracy to outcomes… that's not about the horse race for 538 as an endeavor
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if I'm falsified it will change my worldview.

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Just as long as you don't take her *not* getting there as proof that your worldview is right
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certainly not. But I'd be interested in a symmetrical thing-you-believe-is-impossible claim that would change yours :)
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Politically? There's not all that much I consider to be impossible :).
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must be nice :)
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It's not about nice, haha - it's just about probabilities & rejecting artificial constraints :).
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if you knew me you know that rejecting artificial constraints is something I do with relish.
End of conversation
New conversation -
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