do you have any cases at all of minor party candidates polling at ~2% a week out and then going on to capture 5%?
am I presuming incorrect that you think that argument is persuasive to people not already persuaded?
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I hope it's persuasive to some people, especially those in states that typically are pretty safe for one or the other major-party candidate.
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fair enough re: safe states. I just think you have an obligation not to use a moral argument based on unavailable outcomes.
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I hope you will agree that there ARE consequences to the decision, and if the tipping point in an unsafe state is 1/
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someone believing in an unavailable outcome, I think you own the consequences for making the crucial moral argument. 2/2
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That's always been my intention, & my prime argument applies in swing states. I do not think 5% is unavailable, however.
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She's gotten 5% in several polls at various points in the last few months. Not recently, but the margin of errors also aren't tiny.
End of conversation
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