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  1. 30. sij

    It should always be about what the data suggests is true about the business and the potential vs. the data itself...

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    1/ Why you need to document things to improve your decision-making, a thread: "The first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool." ~Richard P. Feynman Feynman is one of my heroes, a brilliant physicist who was also a renaissance man

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    15. sij

    3/ “Only once proven your value hypothesis do you move on to your growth hypothesis. The value hypothesis defines the what, the who and the how. What are you going to build, who is desperate for it, and what is the business model you are going to use to deliver it?” Andy Rachleff

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    14. sij

    Anyway, congrats Yodlee, you plaid yourself

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    13. sij

    The unit economics process is about determining: What is the capacity of the business to generate cash flows? What is the expected growth in those cash flows? How uncertain are those cash flows? You take expected cash flows and you discount them back to their present value.

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    13. sij

    This is how you do unit economics analysis. For a shareholder it requires detective work. It isn't a number or ratio you look up on a web site. The business itself has the data, including cohorted data. Both should do sensitivity analysis and use a margin of safety on variables.

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    10. sij

    My work has taught me: valuing a subscription business is similar to valuing a portfolio of annuities, but is in large part a black art requiring good judgement, which comes from observing and participating in a lot of bad judgement. Also: Profits Are an Opinion, Cash Is a Fact.

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  8. 10. sij

    Amazing to have more talented friends, who can take a random idea of yours and do something with it. Good actionable analysis of the DNA of the unicorn set by and the team. The take on myth #3 was most interesting to me...

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    6. sij

    this is a big deal and going to be a bigger deal everywhere

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    6. sij

    What's on my mind 👭 IRL Social Experiences 📢 Loudspeakers and Soapboxes ✈️ The UX of Travel 🌎 Climate Change 💥 Follow Through

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  11. 13. pro 2019.

    Replicating the inventory will not be hard, but demand generation is a not anywhere near a landlords core competency and probably the most differentiated thing the flexible commercial office space companies have done (relative to the real estate industry)...

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    12. pro 2019.
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  13. 11. pro 2019.
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  14. 11. pro 2019.
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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. pro 2019.
    Odgovor korisniku/ci
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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. pro 2019.

    "When forced to choose between optimizing the appearance of our GAAP accounting and maximizing the present value of future cash flows, we’ll take the cash flows.” Jeff Bezos

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. pro 2019.

    When we talk about idiosyncratic companies, it can seem subjective or even wishy-washy. But truly idiosyncratic companies generate financial results that differ from competitors in important ways and that's what we care about. Ex: this chart of bank growth vs credit quality.

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  18. 23. stu 2019.
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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    22. stu 2019.

    The worst misses are always the ones you understood and followed but failed to swing on. I don't care at all about things that do very well that I never understood. What bothers me are the ones that were served up and I passed up for no good reason at all

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  20. 21. stu 2019.
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