In Wisconsin, last month, same polling company. 15% of Klobuchar 9% of Warren 6% of Bernie <—* 5% of Beto 4% of Biden ... supporters would vote for Trump over Warren. Whoops, there goes the narrative.
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Late last month in Iowa, same polling company. 25% of Klobuchar 18% of Buttigieg 15% of Beto 8% of Bernie <—* 6% of Biden ... supporters would vote for Trump over Warren. Whoops, there goes the narrative.
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It’s almost like that
@Forbes article that got shared around for viral posts was based on ridiculously extrapolating statistical noise from a worthlessly tiny sample, and people were using it to drum up a fake narrative some desperately want to believe (about “berniebros”)!
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I'll even add a few more. Michigan, same polling company, March 10. 50% of Hickenlooper 20% of Klobuchar 14% of Beto 3% of Warren 2% of Biden 1% of Bernie ←* … supporters would vote for Trump over Warren. Whoops, there goes the narrative!
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Nevada, March 30, same pollster: 100% of Gillibrand 70% of Yang 50% of Castro 43% of Klobuchar 14% of Booker 14% of Bernie ←* 10% of Kamala 10% of Warren 9% of Beto 7% of Buttigieg 7% of Biden … supporters would vote for Trump over Warren. Whoops, there goes the narrative!
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Pennsylvania, March 28, same polling company: 89% of Gabbard 50% of Yang 21% of Warren 15% of Booker 5% of Biden 3% of Bernie ←* … supporters would vote for Trump over Warren. Whoops, there goes the narrative!
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Because several folks have asked (I've posted it in the thread, several times, but twitter threading is bad), links to all the polls:https://twitter.com/wideofthepost/status/1120044741792534528 …
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What narrative? What polling company?
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Tweets like this ↓ (and several others), it was also discussed on MSNBC; and Emerson.https://twitter.com/schemaly/status/1119091709659369474 …
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Thanks!
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Can you share links to these polls? Thanks.
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It's Emerson, you have to download the "full results" +go to "tables." National: https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/april-national-poll-bernie-takes-lead-for-democratic-nomination-mayor-pete-on-the-move … MA: https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/massachusetts-2020-sanders-biden-lead-warren-in-her-home-state … PA: https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/pennsylvania-2020-biden-leads-democratic-field-in-pennsylvania-biden-and-sanders-lead-trump-by-10-points-in-general-election … WI: https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/wisconsin-2020-bernie-sanders-leads-democratic-field-trump-competitive-in-general-election … IA: https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/iowa-2020-biden-and-sanders-neck-and-neck-in-democratic-field-mayor-pete-jumps-to-double-digits … NV: https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/nevada-2020-biden-and-sanders-lead-democratic-primary-field-trump-looks-to-flip-the-silver-state-red … SC:https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/south-carolina-2020-poll-biden-leads-primary-field-by-wide-margin-president-trump-popular-with-base …
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Thank you! :)
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Could you post a link to the actual poll?
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Thanks <3
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Who are the 2% of Warren supporters who would vote for Trump over Warren?
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They seem confused
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Looking at the crosstabs from the one cited by Forbes, there's a few percent of that in basically each candidate's column - I don't know exactly how they sorted ppl into the sample, but one could imagine they're indies who plan to vote Trump but also plan to vote in the D primary
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Throw in some margin of error, and I think you nailed it.
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There are places in America with closed primaries that lean so heavily Democratic, that the Dem primary is the defacto deciding election for local races so people that vote Republican for congress/president are registered Dems to have some say in local politics.
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I live in one (Baltimore City)
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Načítavanie bude chvíľu trvať.
Twitter je preťažený alebo sa vyskytla neočakávaná chyba. Skúste to znova alebo navštívte stránku Twitter Status, ktorá obsahuje viac informácií.