The new @Davos Global Risks 2020 is filled with profound yet vague predictions. Let's offer some @superforecaster rigor. What's the implied probability of:
"More common extreme weather events could make insurance unaffordable or simply unavailable." (p. 32)
@PTetlock @dgardner
-
-
I work in insurance... it's kind of important
-
It's a important topic for sure. If
@Davos would like, we could put it through Good Judgment's Question Team process then post it over on Good Judgment Open for public forecasting. Or even to the Superforecasters on their closed platform. - Još 2 druga odgovora
Novi razgovor -
Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
Twitter je možda preopterećen ili ima kratkotrajnih poteškoća u radu. Pokušajte ponovno ili potražite dodatne informacije u odjeljku Status Twittera.