The new @Davos Global Risks 2020 is filled with profound yet vague predictions. Let's offer some @superforecaster rigor. What's the implied probability of:
"More common extreme weather events could make insurance unaffordable or simply unavailable." (p. 32)
@PTetlock @dgardner
-
-
You do not specify in what time frame.
0 proslijeđenih tweetova 3 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
Odgovor korisnicima @fisherdbus @Davos i sljedećem broju korisnika:
An excellent point. There should be a date. And a clear threshold to resolve the question. @Davos didn't supply those kinds of details, so we just have to use our best judgment given the context. It'd be great if the experts there provided needed specificity and we could relaunch
15:24 - 20. sij 2020.
0 replies
0 proslijeđenih tweetova
2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
Twitter je možda preopterećen ili ima kratkotrajnih poteškoća u radu. Pokušajte ponovno ili potražite dodatne informacije u odjeljku Status Twittera.