Warren Hatch

@wfrhatch

CEO and Superforecaster at Good Judgment

Vrijeme pridruživanja: veljača 2011.

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  1. 3. velj

    ... and 19/19: 2020

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    18/19: 2019 ... one more to come!

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    15/19: 2016. Super Bowl L

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    11/19: 2012. Go Giants!

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    7/19: 2008. Go Giants!

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    5/19: 2006. My turn to sit on Ben's lap!

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    3/19: 2004. Ben choose to have a nap this year.

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    1/19 Back in 2002, my brother Brian took a picture of me with his newborn son Ben watching the . Then we did it again the next year. And a tradition began ...

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  20. 2. velj

    The Global Risks 2020 has this profound but vague prediction: "There is a possibility of an extended low-growth period, akin to the 1970s, if lack of coordinated action continues." Our SF workshop says the implied probability ranges 10%–90%, median of 35%.

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