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For people wondering, how much credit is this to Trump, Kim, whomever? The answer is: we aren't really going to know for a very long time. This is the kind of question that only really gets answered when you open up the archives — if then. So beware drawing lessons at this stage.
I think it is important to ask, again and again here, what seems to be motivating Kim, who appears to be the prime mover in these talks? He may genuinely want to reduce tensions, and thus the possibility of war. But I doubt he wants to lose his new nuclear "hedge."
I think it's a good thing that DPRK is doing this — because I think reducing the tension of war is a good thing — but I also think we need to be realistic about what is likely to be achieved, so we don't get disappointed and angry if and when we find that little actually changes.
The main downside here for the short term is that I suspect the hawk lobby is going to have to turn their sights to Iran.
The pundits in the West will say it’s about survival (which is unhelpfully axiomatic and obvious because it’s like saying KJU wants to keep breathing). Anyone who actually listens to and reads what NK has been saying and writing about for decades would know the true reason.
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