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What is likelihood that DPRK doesn't have a very viable nuke program? They can't afford it, can't get technology right to produce a meaningful deterrent. And they have a deadly conventional deterrent. Maybe plan was always to give it up.https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-missiles-tunnel/tunnel-collapse-may-have-killed-200-after-north-korea-nuclear-test-japanese-broadcaster-idUSKBN1D018L …
I think any nation that has half a dozen nuke tests (including in the hundred-kiloton range) and several successful ICBM tests has gotta be considered having a "viable nuke program." They can certainly threaten US interests in the region (e.g., Tokyo); that counts as a deterrent.
But do we know their capabilities? Are we overestimating given their many failures? Serious question, I have no expertise in this.
Every failure is a lesson learned in nuclear matters. So just because a test "fails" it doesn't mean the test was useless. You test to make sure the failure does not happen when a contingency arises.
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