Alex WellersteinVerified account

2. Be wary of anyone who tells you the only options are to attack them now or attack them later. For the last 50 years the USA has blundered into a nearly unbroken string of wars on this kind of logic. It has rarely turned out to be true, and the consequences have been severe.

(Anyone who wants to argue that the DPRK cannot be deterred has a high bar to clear. Why think deterrence won't work here, when it seems to have worked against Mao's China, Stalin's Russia, etc.? Why assume DPRK is more suicidal than other states?)

Each war the US had gotten into had generally led to the exchange of old problems for new ones. *Sometimes* you may have to go to war — WWII qualifies for that for me. Even then, the world that came after was not exactly an easy one.

(It is a broader point, but I think it is deeply disturbing that, after a half-century of mired conflicts, while we are still stuck in two of them, the broader US public, and many politicians of both parties, still seem to treat going to war rather lightly.)

3. It is difficult to do so, but try to put yourself in the DPRK's position. They are a small, poor, weak, isolated country. They have one half-friend (China) who benefits from their being a point of attention for the rest of the region. They are otherwise surrounded by enemies.

The DPRK view of the US is "that country that killed *millions* of our civilians during the Korean War, but who we ultimately fought to a standstill." The DPRK view of the US is, "a country that has nuked cities, overthrows governments, reneges on its deals."

From their perspective, we aren't the good guys, we're the massive, rich, powerful, evil empire. We're Darth Vader; they're the rebels. We're Goliath; they're David. In their eyes. Is this right? It doesn’t really matter, except where these views shape their behavior.

Think of every movie in which a scrappy group of fighters hold back against terrible odds while the barbarians are at their gates. Think of every movie where the last soldier in the bunker hits the switch and kills himself and much of the enemy in his dying gasp.