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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Ankit Panda‏Verified account @nktpnd 5 Sep 2017
      • Report Tweet

      Here's what that looks like with a 140 kiloton (September 2017 test per working USIC estimate) nuclear payload over New York City.pic.twitter.com/gPHcAXmY1f

      3 replies 16 retweets 21 likes
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    2. Ankit Panda‏Verified account @nktpnd 5 Sep 2017
      • Report Tweet

      The animations simulate multiple trials of the Hwasong-14 with the 3,000 m CEP and the variable payloads.

      1 reply 5 retweets 15 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Ankit Panda‏Verified account @nktpnd 5 Sep 2017
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      Basically, with the 140 kiloton payload, accuracy is far from an issue (if it even was one w/ 30 kt). If it hits, it'll level a lot of NYC.

      2 replies 8 retweets 19 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Ankit Panda‏Verified account @nktpnd 5 Sep 2017
      • Report Tweet

      Anyway, huge shoutout to @wellerstein, whose awesome new *MISSILEMAP* tool lets you do what the above GIFs show.http://nuclearsecrecy.com/missilemap/ 

      2 replies 13 retweets 41 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Ankit Panda‏Verified account @nktpnd 5 Sep 2017
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      (I chose NYC for illustrative purposes and because I live there. I centered the CEP radius on Williamsburg because... hipsters.)

      4 replies 5 retweets 32 likes
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    6. Ankit Panda‏Verified account @nktpnd 5 Sep 2017
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      Just for fun, here's 500 kilotons (upper bound of estimates I've seen of the Kim-6 yield) with the same CEP on the Hwasong-14.pic.twitter.com/xfzjJdXAN9

      8 replies 23 retweets 26 likes
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    8. Ankit Panda‏Verified account @nktpnd 22 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @War_Fighter24 @wellerstein

      Tsar Bomba is stuck in people's imaginations since it's big, but remember that it was delivery-limited. Never missile-mateable.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    9. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 22 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @nktpnd @War_Fighter24

      Alex Wellerstein Retweeted Alex Wellerstein

      Well, I might not say "never"... https://twitter.com/wellerstein/status/919946698847346694 …https://twitter.com/wellerstein/status/919948057780858881 …

      Alex Wellerstein added,

      Alex WellersteinVerified account @wellerstein
      Replying to @RadioFreeTom @dburbach
      CIA argument was about compensating for poor accuracy. You would need far fewer 100 Mt warheads than, say, 7 Mt, to get same results: pic.twitter.com/U1QWFd5Obq
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Ankit Panda‏Verified account @nktpnd 22 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @wellerstein @War_Fighter24

      Inelegant "hack" was always my read on TB. (And a demo of the theoretical limitless destructive potential of the thermonuclear bomb.)

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 22 Oct 2017
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      Replying to @nktpnd @War_Fighter24

      It spurred, for a little bit, some US interest in weapons in that yield range. US thought you could develop ICBM versions if you wanted to.

      1:24 PM - 22 Oct 2017
      • 3 Likes
      • Albert Lunde Ankit Panda
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 22 Oct 2017
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          Replying to @wellerstein @nktpnd @War_Fighter24

          They concluded you would need to do more atmospheric testing to do that, though. Kennedy admin chose to sign PTBT instead.

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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