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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 19 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet

      A single North Korean thermonuclear weapon on Honolulu would kill almost 2.5X as many Americans as did the Vietnam War.

      1 reply 14 retweets 16 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 19 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet

      A single North Korean thermonuclear weapon on Los Angeles would kill 3.7X as many Americans as did the Vietnam War.

      5 replies 17 retweets 22 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Phil Moyer‏ @hukuzatuna 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein

      I wonder what their CEP is...

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @hukuzatuna

      Doesn't matter too much for a "soft" target like Los Angeles, even with low-yield (10-30 kt) warheads.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @hukuzatuna

      Feel free to explore whatever options one might want to assume:http://nuclearsecrecy.com/missilemap/ 

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Phil Moyer‏ @hukuzatuna 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein

      Hmm, you're spot on. Any reasonable CEP doesn't matter.... LA is big enough it gets hit regardless.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @hukuzatuna

      San Jose, too. There are a few areas in the US where you cannot miss if you have the range and any serious yield.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @hukuzatuna

      If I were a hostile power and had doubts about accuracy, and wanted to just cause pain, those are where I would aim. Huge casualties.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @hukuzatuna

      Of course, I have no real insight into their targeting philosophy. But we can assume they have the same tools available to them.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Phil Moyer‏ @hukuzatuna 21 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein

      Unfortunately I think they'll target population centers instead of attempting counter force...

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 21 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @hukuzatuna

      I've seen many people who assume they would try counterforce. I cannot see why they would do that.

      8:43 AM - 21 Oct 2017
      • 1 Like
      • Phil Moyer
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 21 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @hukuzatuna

          They do not care about international opinion as far as I can tell. Would they think it would limit US response? I doubt it.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 21 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @hukuzatuna

          But I don't know the inside of their heads.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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