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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet

      Alex Wellerstein Retweeted Jeffrey Lewis

      We have to—and we can. We have 100X the population, 1000X the economy, and 1000X the nukes they do. They know striking first is suicide.https://twitter.com/ArmsControlWonk/status/921357753720991744 …

      Alex Wellerstein added,

      Jeffrey LewisVerified account @ArmsControlWonk
      We have to live with a North Korean capability to strike the US homeland just like Russia, China. Can I be any clearer? https://twitter.com/terrorsentinel/status/921353416668078081 …
      9 replies 39 retweets 95 likes
    2. Richard Michael Heim‏ @RichardMHeim 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein

      Deterrence didn't work for the 46 brave ROK Sailors of the Cheonan. How bold will KJU be when he has 6th largest stockpile in World?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @RichardMHeim

      46 soldiers is not 100K civilians. Terrible — but not anywhere near the same. (And KJU not KJI, anyway.)

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @RichardMHeim

      Nobody claims deterrence would stop all nasty/undesired/abhorrent state actions. But would probably stop nuclear use, because would

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @RichardMHeim

      guarantee a regime-changing response. DPRK knows this. They bet that 46 sailors wouldn't guarantee that once they had nukes—and were right.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @RichardMHeim

      Which incidentally works perfectly with deterrence theory. US in 2010 not willing to risk Seoul for 46 ROK sailors.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Richard Michael Heim‏ @RichardMHeim 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein

      Deterrence may work but why take that chance? KJU may decide to conduct a first strike against US or allies and have sub based deterrent.

      1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes
    8. Richard Michael Heim‏ @RichardMHeim 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @RichardMHeim @wellerstein

      It's a fallacy to believe it's for regime survival. DPRK nuke program is decades old. Hussein killed in 2006 and Gaddafi 2011.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 21 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @RichardMHeim

      DPRK's regime threat fears pre-date the 21st century. Look into their history. US has kept troops on the southern border since 1950s.

      8:42 AM - 21 Oct 2017
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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