(I accept that rational, reasonable, well-informed people can disagree on this topic. I take all serious positions seriously.)
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It's more possible than I think a lot of people realize. I think history shows us it has almost happened more times than are safe.
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And I worry that the consequences will be horrendous.
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I also worry that the American populace's lack of real understanding the nature of the nuclear era has made them brittle to risk.
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That they think a nuclear-armed DPRK makes them much more threatened than before. Rather than just a bit more. That they were never safe.
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I don't think we'll ever live in a world where the nuclear risks of this sort will ever diminish. I'm not that optimistic.
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But there are more and less dangerous times, even if the danger is never zero. Right now, the danger feels very high. Unacceptably high.
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I hope I'm wrong. We'll see. I hope that those who are in positions of amplified power act reasonably. But, again, I'm not an optimist.
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End of conversation
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