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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      They haven't tested in the atmosphere.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      Even if they did, I am not sure that would be evidence of "emotional instability."

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. DGrey‏ @DGrey2 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

      Just anticipating a test but firmly believe it shows a great deal about KJU. Similarly, his family killing is evidence of who he is.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      Nobody is arguing he is a good person. The question is, is he suicidal? Is he unstable? Is he undeterrable?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      And I think you need a GOOD, STRONG reason to think the answer is "yes" here. Because you are gambling with HIGH stakes.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      "He's a dictator / he's a jerk / he talks big / he has rivals assassinated" — all of this is still less-than-Stalin, less-than-Mao behavior.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      And both Stalin and Mao were deterrable and non-suicidal, in the end.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. DGrey‏ @DGrey2 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

      Every military individual is more suicidal than average without a complete evaluation we don't know how bad he is. The professional I have

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      I see no evidence of KJU being suicidal. He seems to like his life and security. Everything he's done so far seems to reinforce that.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. DGrey‏ @DGrey2 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

      Talk to professionals in the area. It is difficult to get a great picture, but it is very scary.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      KJU seems like a run-of-the-mill dictator. Dictators tend to like living. You've offered up literally no reason to think otherwise.

      2:57 PM - 20 Oct 2017
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

          For what it is worth, it is like literally my job to "talk to professionals" about this.

          0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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        1. DGrey‏ @DGrey2 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

          I bet he launchs a nuke before we do even if we go in first.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

          If we attack DPRK conventionally, in a way that they think is a "decapitation," I think KJU would use a nuke if he could.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

          Obvious corollary is that we should not do that. Not worth it to us.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
          4. End of conversation

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