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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @jerry_martinson

      And we'll STILL be able to totally destroy them back, many times over. No different than China, Russia, etc.

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

      You need a REALLY good reason to think deterrence won't work with them, if you are going to gamble on hundreds of thousands of lives.

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
    3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

      North Korean leadership are terrible, we can all agree. But there is nothing they've done that makes me think they are irrationally suicidal

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. DGrey‏ @DGrey2 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

      Doesn't an air burst show his emotional instability?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      They haven't tested in the atmosphere.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      Even if they did, I am not sure that would be evidence of "emotional instability."

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. DGrey‏ @DGrey2 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

      Just anticipating a test but firmly believe it shows a great deal about KJU. Similarly, his family killing is evidence of who he is.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      Nobody is arguing he is a good person. The question is, is he suicidal? Is he unstable? Is he undeterrable?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

      And I think you need a GOOD, STRONG reason to think the answer is "yes" here. Because you are gambling with HIGH stakes.

      2:29 PM - 20 Oct 2017
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

          "He's a dictator / he's a jerk / he talks big / he has rivals assassinated" — all of this is still less-than-Stalin, less-than-Mao behavior.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

          And both Stalin and Mao were deterrable and non-suicidal, in the end.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. DGrey‏ @DGrey2 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

          Every military individual is more suicidal than average without a complete evaluation we don't know how bad he is. The professional I have

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

          I see no evidence of KJU being suicidal. He seems to like his life and security. Everything he's done so far seems to reinforce that.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @DGrey2 @jerry_martinson

          In any case, you have not provided persuasive evidence that is worth risking >100K American lives over. The burden of proof is HIGH.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. DGrey‏ @DGrey2 20 Oct 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @jerry_martinson

          If he hits LA it is more than 100,000.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        8. End of conversation

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