If they are *wrong*... do they lose Honolulu? Los Angeles? San Francisco? San Jose? Take your pick.
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US officials playing a dangerous game — "can they nuke us yet?" They are betting "no." If they are *right*, they might only lose Seoul.pic.twitter.com/dM5qKDcQly
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Alternative approach: they accept North Korea probably already has this capability, and work on shoring up deterrence, diplomacy.
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End of conversation
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I doubt NK would attack Seoul. They believe they are all one country, just separated unjustly. Tokyo's a different story...
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The question is whether NK believes the US will attack first. If they do, then a direct hit on a US base seems likely.
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Seoul is a victim if bluster leads to bombardment. Yet recall hyperbole of Saddam promising "mother of all battles." NK military has morale?
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North Korea military teeters on internal morale collapse, facing massive internal food shortages and the brutality of supreme leadership.
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Iraq collapsed into ethnic/tribal factions insurgency, nothing of character of former central government. Yet no reason to risk war with NK.
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