I have been watching the PBS Ken Burns/Lynn Novick series on Vietnam, an hour or so a night. It's riveting, beautifully edited.
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A single North Korean thermonuclear weapon on Honolulu would kill almost 2.5X as many Americans as did the Vietnam War.
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A single North Korean thermonuclear weapon on Los Angeles would kill 3.7X as many Americans as did the Vietnam War.
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I hope our leadership understands these risks. That a nuclear-armed North Korea might not be preferable, but it's the reality on the ground.
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And that it is not worth the costs of being wrong on this. There is no reason to think North Korea is not deterrable. War is avoidable.
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Anyone who thinks war is preferable has not really wrapped their head around the potential — maybe even probable — consequences.
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End of conversation
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I wonder what their CEP is...
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Doesn't matter too much for a "soft" target like Los Angeles, even with low-yield (10-30 kt) warheads.
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Feel free to explore whatever options one might want to assume:http://nuclearsecrecy.com/missilemap/
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Hmm, you're spot on. Any reasonable CEP doesn't matter.... LA is big enough it gets hit regardless.
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San Jose, too. There are a few areas in the US where you cannot miss if you have the range and any serious yield.
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If I were a hostile power and had doubts about accuracy, and wanted to just cause pain, those are where I would aim. Huge casualties.
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Of course, I have no real insight into their targeting philosophy. But we can assume they have the same tools available to them.
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Unfortunately I think they'll target population centers instead of attempting counter force...
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So let's just give them everything
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How about Anchorage? I get 9.7k dead with a 15 kt - nukemap doesn't do a good ground zero for ANC though - it should be 36th and Denali
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...and 431x as many N. Koreans. Why does everyone think Kim doesn't know this?
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