It's truly worrying that Trump has such confidence in US ability to shoot down a DPRK ICBM. Would you wager >100,000 lives on a "coin toss"?https://twitter.com/nktpnd/status/918319637296803840 …
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Do you really — truly — think that behind this statement of Trump's there is a deep understanding of BMD effectiveness rates?
Do you really — truly — think that he couches his statement in lots of little caveats that reflect a deep understanding of the issue?
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Are you really — truly — willing to bet hundreds of thousands of American lives on his nuanced appreciation of the matter?
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To put it another way: when a world power makes a statement that makes him look like he is deeply ignorant of an important point,
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does Occam's razor, or our understanding of human history and psychology, warrant us giving him the benefit of the doubt?
End of conversation
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