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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 12 Oct 2017
    • Report Tweet

    Alex Wellerstein Retweeted Ankit Panda

    It's truly worrying that Trump has such confidence in US ability to shoot down a DPRK ICBM. Would you wager >100,000 lives on a "coin toss"?https://twitter.com/nktpnd/status/918319637296803840 …

    Alex Wellerstein added,

    0:50
    Ankit PandaVerified account @nktpnd
    So, here's @POTUS telling Hannity that the US has missile defense systems that'll knock #NorthKorea's missiles 97% of the time. 1/ pic.twitter.com/NRkwDYXynP
    Show this thread
    8:46 AM - 12 Oct 2017
    • 22 Retweets
    • 59 Likes
    • Julie Wilson ░M░a░x░ ░W░h░i░t░e░ I_Miss_#44 Gort КраФТ Heron Andy Hunt Alembic Rare Books Melissa Buckner
    14 replies 22 retweets 59 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Rebeccah Heinrichs‏Verified account @RLHeinrichs 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        @nktpnd he didn't say icbm.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @RLHeinrichs @nktpnd

        Do you really — truly — think that behind this statement of Trump's there is a deep understanding of BMD effectiveness rates?

        3 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
      4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein @RLHeinrichs @nktpnd

        Do you really — truly — think that he couches his statement in lots of little caveats that reflect a deep understanding of the issue?

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein @RLHeinrichs @nktpnd

        Are you really — truly — willing to bet hundreds of thousands of American lives on his nuanced appreciation of the matter?

        1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
      6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein @RLHeinrichs @nktpnd

        To put it another way: when a world power makes a statement that makes him look like he is deeply ignorant of an important point,

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      7. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein @RLHeinrichs @nktpnd

        does Occam's razor, or our understanding of human history and psychology, warrant us giving him the benefit of the doubt?

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      8. End of conversation
      1. Nickolas Roth‏ @Nickolas_Roth 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        I don't know whether I'm more concerned about his ignorance or his belief that 97% certainty is good enough to incite nuclear war.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Wyatt Derp‏ @WyattDerpy 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        Isn’t he either lying, making it up, or actually disclosing secret information?

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Bryn, Freelance Sourcerer‏ @Arcanafex 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        I'd wager that HE would gladly take that bet.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. edward m lenert‏ @lenert 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        The actually 'success rate' is likely highly-classified information. Does Trump know that?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Gort‏ @DrugstorCowboy 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        Pure insanity. If he really believes this, millions of lives could pay the price of his hubris.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Lemon Bird Preserves‏ @lemonbirdjams 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein @nktpnd

        Narcissist is what narcissist does. It is all about him. Zero compassion. Zero care 4 democracy or US. Call to resign should be resounding.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. FreeMarkets-TQN- 👑‏ @TechQn 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @lemonbirdjams @wellerstein @nktpnd

        BS I said the same thing about Obama but you didnt see me marching in streets demanding to unseat a duly elected pres.😒 Sheesh

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. John Dragon Energy‏ @jdevere74 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein @nktpnd

        So you blame Trump, not retarded rocket man??? This is why Trump won.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. (((Herid Fel)))‏ @heridfan 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        "worrying" is a mild word. this is insanity. Trump is aiming to nuke NK and is trying to create political support for doing it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. FreeMarkets-TQN- 👑‏ @TechQn 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        Maybe he knows something you dont? Just make sure youre prepared on your own. Dont expect the Govt to save you. 😒

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Dawsonville‏ @lastchecked 12 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein @nktpnd

        Not to worry .. Trump will just call for a video review if things go bad and ask for a do over..&..over till he wins. Just like his life.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jonathan Alter‏ @AlterJonathan 13 Oct 2017
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        How about a dice roll? We really have no Idea what our GMD capability is in a real combat situation, and how easy it would be to overwhelm

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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