The Soviet Union will not obtain a nuclear capability. Whether through diplomacy or force is up to Stalin. #HeatherNauertTweetshttps://twitter.com/statedeptspox/status/914557115645202432 …
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Ahhhh, gotcha. I was thinking about the ability to field a weapon on the battlefield. I thought that item wasn't available until '53?
It depends on how far away the battlefield was! I don't know when Tu-4A went online but they had small stockpile as soon as 1950.
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Not clear when exactly they might have been able to use in Europe/Asia. But they didn't have ability to attack continental US until later.
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Speaking less for others than myself, I'm less concerned about the contiguous states than a certain 49th state. :)
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The Soviet stockpile was 1 bomb on 1 Nov 1949, 2 on 1 Jan 1950, 11 on 1 Jan 1951, 35 on 1 Jan 1952, 75 on 1 Jan 1953, 121 on 1 Nov 1953.
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7 Tu-4 delivery aircraft ready by March 1951, 22 by mid-1952.
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The big unknown is whether the Soviet Union planned to send Tu-4s (and later Tu-16s) on one-way missions to target CONUS.
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The US assumed that was possible. I don't think any actual Soviet military planning documents have been declassified so far.
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