In response to inquiries: Rough simulation (Sept15-29) of #radio-isotope cloud from hypothetical atmospheric burst over Pacific: #CTBT #IMSpic.twitter.com/361ZBkoUy7
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Without information about what the scale means (much less assumptions), this is not just useless, it is dangerous.
People are going to confuse what look like very low rad levels characteristic of "global fallout" with "local fallout" intensities.
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To contrast the difference: on the left is the local fallout estimates of one shot (Bravo, 15Mt, surface/atoll), on the right, the global.pic.twitter.com/1u9tln8bXD
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15 Mt was the yield of the specific shot I was using as an example (Castle Bravo) — that is a BIG bomb (biggest the US ever set off).
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It just happens to be a shot for which we have a lot of ready-made fallout data (local & global), which is why I used it for illustration.
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By contrast, that is about 100 times more powerful (and more radioactive) than whatever bomb the DPRK set off (15,000 kt vs. 150 kt).
End of conversation
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