In response to inquiries: Rough simulation (Sept15-29) of #radio-isotope cloud from hypothetical atmospheric burst over Pacific: #CTBT #IMSpic.twitter.com/361ZBkoUy7
Without information about what the scale means (much less assumptions), this is not just useless, it is dangerous.
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Simply a rough simulation of potential cloud that cld carry isotopes! In response to specific inquiries and nothing more.
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People are going to interpret the plume as being "radioactivity" — without a scale of some sort, they will assume the worst.
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They will confuse it with the kinds of fallout clouds they are used to reading about, the "take shelter for 2 weeks" kind.pic.twitter.com/JEvIhbe97L
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I am sure that is not what you mean for them to think! But they will! Even WITH a scale it will be hard for most to understand!
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People are going to confuse what look like very low rad levels characteristic of "global fallout" with "local fallout" intensities.
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To contrast the difference: on the left is the local fallout estimates of one shot (Bravo, 15Mt, surface/atoll), on the right, the global.pic.twitter.com/1u9tln8bXD
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15 Mt was the yield of the specific shot I was using as an example (Castle Bravo) — that is a BIG bomb (biggest the US ever set off).
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It just happens to be a shot for which we have a lot of ready-made fallout data (local & global), which is why I used it for illustration.
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By contrast, that is about 100 times more powerful (and more radioactive) than whatever bomb the DPRK set off (15,000 kt vs. 150 kt).
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Scale indicates dilution by orders of magnitude. No assumption about source made because this is to show dispersion of any plume by winds.
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Thank you for the clarification!
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Thank you
@wellerstein for putting@SinaZerbo in his place. This is obviously anti war propaganda used as a reason not to invade North KoreaThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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