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There may not be many indicators of such a strike, which means North Korean decision-making could be subject to confirmation bias. (2/3)
Cf. Project RYAN — when the Soviets "chased noise" looking for warning signs of decapitation, finger on the button: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RYAN
I don't think that increases the risk of "accidental nuclear war" very much. What do they have to gain? NK is not able to prevent US strike.
I think DPRK would want to cause a lot of pain if they thought the jig was up.
No doubt. But the whole point of their nuclear program is to deter invasion, meddling, US driven regime change.
My thoughts exactly. We're one Able Archer or Stanislav Petrov-like incident from going nuclear.
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