Without that, it seems some analysts will adhere to a presumption that there is some tech shortfall somewhere, until proven otherwise.
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The estimates of the latest test are in the 150 kT (that's *k*T) range. Any nuclear strike on an American city would have 9/11 effects.
It would be at least 9/11 x 100, in terms of fatalities. 150 kt easily gets you into the +100K deaths in a major urban areas.
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Yeah, if it's a hit. Any guestimates on CEP at 10 000 km for HS-14? Must be a tough call. Chilling anyway.
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Even without a direct hit, if target is big & soft.
@ArmsControlWonk suggested ~2-3km CEP is as good-enough guess http://nuclearsecrecy.com/missilemap/?&s=41.202%2C126.691&t=34.0199%2C-118.2307&p=dprk_hwasong-14&sp=dprk_changgang&yp=psi5_ab&kt=150&c=3000&r=10000&wr=1&a=1&mc=34.0914%2C241.5393&z=10 … -
His argument was that this was similar to 1st-gen Chinese ICBMs. Even if you went to 5km, which was the R-7's CEP, LA still can't be missed.
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True. And they wd put their best IMUs in their ICBMs. Great job on NukeMap and MissileMap btw!
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Too much bad in the world this week. Read as '150 knots' and thought you meant Irma and Miami.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Just one aspect regarding the wounded: There are 123 burn centers in ALL of the USA (2011) combined, with around 1,800 burn beds total.
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Such a burn bed is what you want even (and especially) for victims with large *2nd* degree burns. Now look at the numbers in Nukemap...
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