If the magnitude stays at 5.2, this would be the same size as the Kim-5 in September 2016, which was a few tens of kilotons. 1/
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But we're seeing larger estimates up to 6.1. That would be MUCH larger explosion. So let's wait. 2/ http://www.seisme.nc/index.php?option=com_alertes&view=alertes&Itemid=184&ids=ird2017rfxe&lang=fr …
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Just for reference: 5.6 is ~100 kilotons. 6.3 is a megaton. Just using Mb=4.05+.75Log(W). YMMV 3/
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6.3 puts us up around a megaton. That would be a staged thermonuclear weapon folks. 4/pic.twitter.com/E5e4mqhQmg
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Replying to @ArmsControlWonk @wellerstein
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@NTI_WMD@BulletinAtomic@tribelaw North Korean test: possibly multiple simultaneously-detonated fission bombs emulating a hydrogen bomb?1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes -
Replying to @BerkeleyBrett @ArmsControlWonk and
Simultaneity issues in testing multiple fission bombs undetectably probably harder than actual TN weapon at this point.
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Replying to @wellerstein @ArmsControlWonk and
Perhaps. Six fission bombs spaced half a mile apart, all that hard? Might explain tunnel collapse. Thanks for feedback....
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Aside from fact it is 6X fissile material needed... yes, probably hard to get that to add up to a coherent single seismic signal reliably.
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Replying to @wellerstein @BerkeleyBrett and
Where does DPRK get fissile material anyway? I don't really hearing of them mining it locally.
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