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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Joshua H. Pollack‏ @Joshua_Pollack 20 Aug 2017
      • Report Tweet

      Quite a lineup on nuclear weapons in today's @washingtonpost Outlook section!

      2 replies 12 retweets 15 likes
    2. Joshua H. Pollack‏ @Joshua_Pollack 20 Aug 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @Joshua_Pollack @washingtonpost

      First, @vermontgmg on the deep, ingrained reluctance to order a nuclear first strike:https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/would-the-president-actually-order-the-use-of-nuclear-weapons/2017/08/18/a7ff0ed8-837d-11e7-ab27-1a21a8e006ab_story.html?utm_term=.9d967f9e3815 …

      9 replies 3 retweets 13 likes
    3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 20 Aug 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @Joshua_Pollack @WardHayesWilson and

      In both cases, Trump can easily be a counter-example if you want him to be. Not clear he has Truman's taboo. Not clear he cares about allies

      5 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Ward Wilson‏ @WardHayesWilson 20 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @wellerstein @Joshua_Pollack and

      They (taboo and deterrence) are unmeasurable, untestable, and not scientific in any serious sense.

      6 replies 2 retweets 0 likes
    5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 21 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @WardHayesWilson @Joshua_Pollack and

      The evidence we do have on deterrence is that it is not 100% perfect as a strategy — it can fail for many reasons.

      4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Ward Wilson‏ @WardHayesWilson 21 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @wellerstein @Joshua_Pollack and

      Was Khrushchev deterred by the danger of nuclear war in Cuba? Or did he just get a deal he liked? We can’t know.

      4 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 21 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @WardHayesWilson @Joshua_Pollack and

      You've set up a really impossible epistemological bar. We can know some things, there are levels of knowledge & plausibility.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Ward Wilson‏ @WardHayesWilson 21 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @wellerstein @Joshua_Pollack and

      I think I’m just asking for a certain level of scientific knowledge if we’re all going to be asked to risk being blown up.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Joshua H. Pollack‏ @Joshua_Pollack 21 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @WardHayesWilson @wellerstein and

      We're in that position regardless.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Ward Wilson‏ @WardHayesWilson 21 Aug 2017
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      Replying to @Joshua_Pollack @wellerstein and

      But it’s not inevitable that nuclear weapons exist. We choose to allow them to exist. Don’t make me quote JFK at you.

      12 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 21 Aug 2017
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @WardHayesWilson @Joshua_Pollack and

      Question for me is not whether deterrence exists (ideas exist, threats exist) but whether they are adequate given consequences of failure.

      8:37 AM - 21 Aug 2017
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        1. Joshua H. Pollack‏ @Joshua_Pollack 21 Aug 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @WardHayesWilson and

          Adequate compared to what?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        2. Ward Wilson‏ @WardHayesWilson 21 Aug 2017
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @Joshua_Pollack @wellerstein and

          Joshua, it can’t be that there are no other possibilities. That is the nuclear advocates talking. “Only a world with nukes is possible!”

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
          3. End of conversation

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