64 years ago today, Julius and Ethel Rosenberg were executed as atomic spies. A polarizing Cold War event: either an atrocity or justice.pic.twitter.com/XsS0wVtcaD
Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.
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64 years ago today, Julius and Ethel Rosenberg were executed as atomic spies. A polarizing Cold War event: either an atrocity or justice.pic.twitter.com/XsS0wVtcaD
In 1945, the Franck Report predicted USSR could have the bomb in 'a few years.' http://www.dannen.com/decision/franck.html …pic.twitter.com/4i97ILyZWE
Right. Standard line amongst scientists in 1945 was "about 5 years." Even that mostly just a guess.
Did Groves *actually* believe that it would take twenty years for the Soviets to get the bomb?
Groves' main reason — uranium rare, Soviets don't have much of it — was valid & true. But they compensated with extreme use of gulag labor.
I wonder what he thought of his own scientists' opinion of Soviet scientific capability. And I wonder if he was influenced by German failure
He trusted the instincts of the industrial contractors & engineers more than scientists; he did solicit their views on this in 1945.pic.twitter.com/1VcWkvNeLs
And Groves was blinded by self-congratulation for 'his' accomplishment.
And to be fair, the US barely pulled it off in time for use in the war! He wasn't wrong that it was hard work. But the Soviets worked hard.
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