right. I was thinking of it from the angle of "why don't terrorists do this all the time if it's that feasible?"
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Replying to @Mad_Science_Guy @wellerstein
because your local terror group will for sure go with reliable, technically "easy", and casualty/disruption-generating.
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Replying to @Mad_Science_Guy @wellerstein
(I'm not saying terrorists would use a nuke either, but worth asking why "caper" attacks like that are very rare between warring nations)
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Replying to @Mad_Science_Guy
The difficulty of a terrorist pulling this off is terrorists getting a nuke in the first place. Which is a separate issue. DPRK has nukes.
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Replying to @wellerstein
right, but as a terrorist, why not just pack a shipping container full of c4? lots of disruption even minus casualties. POint is+
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Replying to @Mad_Science_Guy
My rough estimate is that at maximum packing you could fit maybe 67 tons of C4 in a shipping container. Big boom! But not nuke-level.
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Replying to @wellerstein
no, but it would shut down the port of Oakland or Long Beach for a week, right?
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Replying to @Mad_Science_Guy
Sure, but that's still several orders of magnitude few problems than a nuke. And again we are talking about a state, not a terrorist org.
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Replying to @wellerstein
that's the point, tho: why don't states do this all the time, if attacking ports though shipping with secreted bombs is such a great plan?+
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Replying to @Mad_Science_Guy
Well, this gets at a question I like to ask my students. If blowing things is easy, why doesn't it happen more often?
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The 9/11 Report traces in detail how it went from idea to reality. Case study in what a dedicated, educated, malicious person (KSM) can do.
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