Seems mostly very pessimistic or optimistic predictions get published.I've been looking at energy scenarios where it's latter.
Expert predictions about nuclear war and proliferation from 1975-1976 — a bit pessimistic in retrospect.pic.twitter.com/KuC23KMr9A
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Moderate predictions rarely get the big headlines. "Things likely to be not perfect but not the worst possible, news at 11!"
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Where is this from, if you don't mind me asking? Am doing research on the subject of predicting proliferation threats.
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I think #1 is from Unitarian Universalist World; #2 is from Parade: https://www.newspapers.com/newspage/56970022/ …
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Only wrong about the time frame. Correct about where we’re headed. Just not sure about when.
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or, we've been alternatively careful and lucky so far
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We were supposed to have quit all other energy sources, even oil by 2000 because of atomic energy.
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Maybe pessimist messages help going in the optimist direction, in this case they wouldn't be wrong.
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