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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
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@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      After the war ended, the US sent scientists to Hiroshima and Nagasaki to learn what they could about the effects of the bombs. Records of school children provided a key dataset for calculating the casualty-distance curves of the atomic bombs.pic.twitter.com/MutDE9Z58E

      6 replies 88 retweets 265 likes
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    2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      It was the child deaths that affected Harry Truman the most, too. When he ordered no further atomic bombing, on August 10th, he invoked "all those kids" as the justification. Throughout his life Truman would refer to the bomb as a killer of "women and children."pic.twitter.com/tsyLF0iar2

      6 replies 132 retweets 473 likes
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    3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      There are many ways to think about the damage caused by the bomb. Structural damage is a potent way to illustrate it. As is the art of survivors. But it's that first photo (which is from the Hiroshima Peace Memorial Museum) that really gets me — all that joy, snuffed out.pic.twitter.com/HI79JhD0UE

      3 replies 73 retweets 282 likes
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    4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      This isn't meant to be a naive statement. "War is hell." I know the causes of WWII, and the reasons why the atomic bombs were seen as an expedient and necessary action by those who were involved in dropping them. I do not absolve the Japanese militarists for their role in this.

      2 replies 32 retweets 227 likes
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    5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      In principle, if you think the bombings were necessary, you should still be able to accommodate that belief without ignoring any of the above. In reality, I find most defenders want to look the other way when it comes to the consequences. To do so is to take an incomplete view.

      2 replies 49 retweets 399 likes
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    6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      Even Truman, the endless defender of the bombings, seemed to harbor deep unhappiness about their collateral damage. In Dec. 1945 he referred to the bomb as "the most terrible of all destructive forces for the wholesale slaughter of human beings" — he didn't whitewash it.

      2 replies 56 retweets 313 likes
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    7. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      One can invoke, of course, the hypothetical lives the bomb saved. Because they are hypothetical, they can be nearly as many as you want them to be (and the defenders of the bombings revised that number upwards and upwards over the years), and whomever you want them to be.

      2 replies 33 retweets 204 likes
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    8. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      But I can't help but feel that the actual dead deserve a bit more attention, versus the hypothetical dead. I know: your grandfather was slated to be in the invasion, you might not be here, etc. (Assuming the war didn't end prior to November 1945, which it may well have.)

      4 replies 31 retweets 264 likes
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    9. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      But even in that situation you've still got to reconcile with the costs. You've got to say, "I am OK with all of those children having died, so that I may live." I find that a defensible statement. But I rarely hear people say it — because it's hard.

      8 replies 47 retweets 281 likes
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    10. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      I guess that's my argument, here: if you want to defend the bombings, that's fine with me. There are certainly arguments to that end. But you can't ignore the consequences of them. To do that puts us in a dangerous place; an "ends justify the means" that overlooks the "means."

      6 replies 45 retweets 307 likes
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      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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      Truman managed to defend the bombings, while being very open about the horror, once he learned of it. He turned that into a desire not to have nuclear weapons be used ever again, if it was possible. He's a more complex figure on this than his detractors or defenders tend to know.

      6:46 AM - 6 Aug 2019
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      25 replies 49 retweets 402 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. T.K. of AAK!‏ @AskAKorean Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          I find it notable that this whole thread makes zero reference to the tens of millions of Asians that Imperial Japan has slaughtered up to that point.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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          Replying to @AskAKorean

          I do make a reference to the Japanese militarists; I certainly do not absolve Japan for their role in the war, or the horror they wrought on their neighbors. In the US educational context, this is heavily emphasized. It doesn't make killing Japanese children any better, IMO.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. T.K. of AAK!‏ @AskAKorean Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          I know you don't mean to absolve anyone. I just find it interesting millions of Asian deaths never entered your moral calculus. The argument is a bit different when it iss: "I'm OK with all these children having died, because for their sake, many millions have been killed."

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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          Replying to @AskAKorean

          Yeah, but that's an argument for endless slaughter of innocents — they kill your children, you kill their children, and on and on. It's a bad argument. It's not a real moral calculus, it's just a justification for death.

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein @AskAKorean

          The most thoughtful Japanese I talked to in Japan read the lesson of Hiroshima like this: Hiroshima shows what happens when you let terrible leaders do terrible things in your name; let's never do that again. I think that's a sentiment that balances both sides of the issue.

          1 reply 2 retweets 7 likes
        7. T.K. of AAK!‏ @AskAKorean Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          Ah - "both sides." There's that magic word.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        8. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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          Replying to @AskAKorean

          (By "both sides," I simply mean, acknowledging the mutual horrors.)

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        9. B‏ @AnonKmed Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein @AskAKorean

          Mutual horrors... that the Asians inflicted on the Japanese during WWII?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        10. 3 more replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Toby Saul‏ @TobySaul Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          I hadn't seen those photos before. I'm in your debt for showing them to me. I agree with a lot of this. I think you're wrong, however, to talk about lives saved as 'hypothetical'. The tragedy is that the bombs really did stop the war.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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          Replying to @TobySaul

          There's a lot of debate — and I don't want to rehash it — about what exactly caused Japan to finally agree to surrender. The bombs may have played a role, though the amount is unclear. Soviet invasion clearly mattered a lot, too.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein @TobySaul

          Either way, the lives are "hypothetical" — you have to imagine the war continued until November 1945 (maybe), that the US invaded Kyushu, and maybe went on to invade Honshu (which was not yet approved). Then you have to imagine how deadly you think that'd all be.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein @TobySaul

          Either way, those are hypotheticals — it's hard to know, and there's a lot of uncertainty in all of those counts, and people tend to guess high or low depending on their pre-held beliefs about the bombs. That's what I meant by it.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Toby Saul‏ @TobySaul Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          Yes I understand. As far as I can tell the bombs were decisive but could obis be wrong. It's just that we also need to think about the Chinese schoolchildren, say, who would have died under continued Japanese occupation.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. Toby Saul‏ @TobySaul Aug 6
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          Replying to @TobySaul @wellerstein

          If the bombs hadn't been used, we could look at pictures of them and try to weigh them against the 'hypothetical' Japanese lives that were saved. If that makes sense.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        8. End of conversation
        1. Gene Dannen‏ @GeneDannen Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          The problem is that Truman's regrets were private and secret, his lies and bravado public. And those created today's world.

          0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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        1. dan hon is back‏ @hondanhon Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          Thank you for this thread.

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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        1. Greg Mitchell‏ @GregMitch Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          I would say he did not "manage" to defend but "enthusiastically" defended (even intervened to promote that view in the MGM movie) for rest of his life (with occasional exceptions), and happily pushed ahead with developing hydrogen bomb despite concerns raised at the time.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Deena Heg‏ @bikesalsa Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          Thank you for this thread. After I saw Hiroshima and the Peace Museum there, I wanted nothing more than to make the whole world walk through it all--the skeleton of that tower, the 1000 cranes, the photographs of the people in the bomb zone. See and understand.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Melanie Broder‏ @melbroder Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          Well said. Too many defend the actions of the US in WWII without taking responsibility. The bomb was a horrendous and (easily arguable) gratuitous act of violence. Being a victor doesn’t put you in the moral right.

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        2. El Guiri‏ @LupineChemist Aug 6
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          Replying to @wellerstein

          I think it was the right decision but you are absolutely right. Thought I do think comparing to hypothetical dead is a bit of a red herring. Considering the bombs had a casualty rate akin to the bombing of Tokyo I think it's safe to assume it was FAR less than invasion.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. El Guiri‏ @LupineChemist Aug 6
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          Replying to @LupineChemist @wellerstein

          And yes, I have been to Hiroshima and do all I can to fully understand the horror involved. I think the fundamental lesson is to avoid a world where the sort of debate on if it's worth it is a completely meaningless question.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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