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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 3
    • Report Tweet

    MAUD Report (1941) estimates for the cost of an atomic bomb. Aside from being off by a significant margin (£8.5m in 1941 = $40m USD in 1945 = off by a factor of 30 or so), it's interesting that there's also a "bang for the buck" justification included by comparing to TNT.pic.twitter.com/2oNWgjDyM8

    10:55 AM - 3 Aug 2019
    • 3 Retweets
    • 19 Likes
    • James Esposito Ryan Hagen Евгений Киселев D'Hawk Emma Claire Foley Pete L dshayman Carole Gallagher Gregory Koblentz
    2 replies 3 retweets 19 likes
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      2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 3
        • Report Tweet

        (The exact factor of error depends on what final price you compare it to. To entire Manhattan Project, which includes Pu bombs, it is off by 50X. To just Oak Ridge — U bomb only — it is 30X. To just K-25, it is "just" 13X off. But K-25 alone wouldn't have made a bomb in time...)

        2 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
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      3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 3
        • Report Tweet

        also it's kind of amazing that the numbers were based on make **36** bombs at 1.8 kt apiece

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. David Wittig‏ @davidwittig Aug 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @wellerstein

        I’m sure you are aware the bang for buck calculations don’t end there. There’s a declassified document from the 60’s that explains a math formula for deciding when it is cost effective to use nukes.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Aug 3
        • Report Tweet
        Replying to @davidwittig

        right, but it's interesting that the "bang for the buck" argument literally started in the first serious "how would we build one" document

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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