Defense Civil Preparedness Agency closed it's 1973 Attack Environment Manual section on post-fallout shelter life with this very...optimistic...cartoon.pic.twitter.com/ieKYsiWsxa
Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.
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Defense Civil Preparedness Agency closed it's 1973 Attack Environment Manual section on post-fallout shelter life with this very...optimistic...cartoon.pic.twitter.com/ieKYsiWsxa
Defense Civil Preparedness Agency estimate of notional fallout dosage curves from a Soviet Attack in 1973.pic.twitter.com/j61zLbxtqn
Note that this is a dose *rate* after 1 week. To give you a sense of what this means, if your dose is 1 R/hr at one week, it means that the initial source intensity was around 1000 R/hr at 1 hr. It means if you were without any shelter, you'd have picked up 3,600+ R in that time.
So in the 10 to 50 rad zone, after a week... Would any multicellular life survive in those zones?
So working backwards, for 10 R/hr after one week, that's an initial activity of something like 8,000 R/hr. For 50 R/hr, that's around 35,000 R/hr. Accumulated activity on the ground is 55K-242K R for those values. So... I'm gonna go with "probably not."
Alex Wellerstein Retweeted Alex Wellerstein
63K R will kill all plants, full stop. At 50 K you might have some really scrubby things. Trees die much earlier than those levels. Maybe some microscopic stuff can take that level? But complex organisms, I don't think so.https://twitter.com/wellerstein/status/352145474737803264 …
Alex Wellerstein added,
(It's times like this that I'm glad I already have a spreadsheet with these kinds of numbers already in it! Make me seem very knowledgable, when it's really just fiddling with the "initial dose" number until the time after one week matches up right!)
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