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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Hans Kristensen‏Verified account @nukestrat Feb 26
      • Report Tweet

      After telling Congress US currently has low-yield nukes for bombers, Hyten says Russia might use low-yield because US won’t respond with high-yield, but "if they see we have a low-yield [W76-2], they won’t go in that direction.” https://www.c-span.org/video/?458046-1/armed-services … Hallo! We HAVE low-yield!pic.twitter.com/SG70EMEfiP

      9 replies 11 retweets 20 likes
    2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Feb 26
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @nukestrat

      Hyten sees a difference between the B-61 and the low-yield Trident in terms of deliverability: B-61 would take ~1 day to use, a Trident would take minutes. Not saying that makes it a good idea (I hate it for primarily that reason; speed is dangerous), but that's his rationale.

      2 replies 2 retweets 6 likes
    3. Nikolai Sokov‏ @SokovNikolai Feb 26
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein @nukestrat

      I still fail to see how this would affect Russian behavior.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein Feb 26
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @SokovNikolai @nukestrat

      He's saying that if we have fast low-yield nukes then they won't use their low-yield nukes because we'll reply in kind. His theory (right or wrong) is that the Russians might be tempted to use low-yield nukes if they thought replying would be hard. (I'm not saying I agree.)

      12:34 PM - 26 Feb 2019
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Nikolai Sokov‏ @SokovNikolai Feb 26
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @nukestrat

          No, I get his logic, I cannot get why he thinks it's sound. Nukes are intended for case of defeat in high-stakes large-scale conventional conflict. Why would low-yield SLBMs force Rus accept defeat? I'd rather see an interest in further escalation.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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