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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Tom Nichols‏Verified account @RadioFreeTom 9 Aug 2018
      • Report Tweet

      Tom Nichols Retweeted Esoteric Jeff

      Both good threads, but with due respect to @wellerstein - whose work I admire - @baseballcrank is correct. Alex’s view seems rooted in old-school Cold War revisionism.https://twitter.com/EsotericCD/status/1027732601098981377 …

      Tom Nichols added,

      Esoteric JeffVerified account @EsotericCD
      This is a twofer in terms of worthy Twitter threads on Hiroshima & Nagasaki: the thread Dan links to (which should be read first), and then Dan's commentary. https://twitter.com/baseballcrank/status/1027648500107026433 …
      10 replies 16 retweets 69 likes
    2. Doug Thompson‏ @NWADoug 10 Aug 2018
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @RadioFreeTom @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      Richard B. Frank's book "Downfall" settled this in 1999. Granted, the best proof came after the war. Americans studied Japanese defense plans -- and found them prescient. They knew the U.S. would land at certain types 1/ ...

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Doug Thompson‏ @NWADoug 10 Aug 2018
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @NWADoug @RadioFreeTom and

      2/2... of beaches within certain distances of a port and land suitable for an airfield, etc. They knew where the landing points would be and were ready (as they could be) to resist. Japanese deaths would have been horrific.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Doug Thompson‏ @NWADoug 10 Aug 2018
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @NWADoug @RadioFreeTom and

      Looked up my old (Jan. 2000) review of that book. I had forgotten: "To Frank's lasting credit, he is virtually the only popular author to point out that 100,000 Chinese a month were dying in 1945. That estimate is backed up by Frank and appears conservative."

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @NWADoug @RadioFreeTom @baseballcrank

      As I've written already, I think the "bomb vs. invasion" way of thinking about this is not quite right, and necessarily prejudices the outcome. (If "2 bombs on 2 cities in 3 days" versus "worst invasion imaginable" are the outcomes, then yes, obviously the former is preferable.)

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @NWADoug and

      If you haven't looked at Hasegawa's Racing the Enemy, it is worth the read, even if you don't totally agree with the conclusion. It has been enormously influential on historians since 2005.

      2:48 PM - 10 Aug 2018
      • 1 Like
      • Pam A
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein @NWADoug and

          It doesn't dispute that Hiroshima had an impact, but it argues that the impact of the Soviet invasion has been understated. It is compelling on this front. Separately, Walker's review of A-bomb historiography is worth the read, and very fair.https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-7709.2005.00476.x …

          3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Tom Nichols‏Verified account @RadioFreeTom 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @NWADoug @baseballcrank

          Your conflating two issues. One is what objectively would make the Japanese surrender. As you note, no one can predict this. The other is whether there was any real alternative to dropping the bomb. There wasn’t, not in this historical context.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Mr.Quindazzi‏ @MrQuindazzi 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @RadioFreeTom @wellerstein and

          Sure there were. They could have: 1. relented on the unconditional surrender 2. withheld the bomb while the pursued diplomacy given the invasion wasn't to take place for months 3. dropped one bomb and given the Japanese more time to respond etc....

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Tom Nichols‏Verified account @RadioFreeTom 10 Aug 2018
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @MrQuindazzi @wellerstein and

          These are all terrific options if you consider them completely out of the historical context.

          3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        6. Mr.Quindazzi‏ @MrQuindazzi 10 Aug 2018
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @RadioFreeTom @wellerstein and

          No, they all fit well within the historical context as many eminent historians have argued- as some in the Truman administration argued.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. Tom Nichols‏Verified account @RadioFreeTom 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @MrQuindazzi @wellerstein and

          Many? Fewer. And at least one of them is distinctly dishonest in his approach. I know this because when the Truman papers were opened up in the 90s, and some of his main points were disproven, his exact words to me were: “I don’t care. It was wrong.”

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        8. Tom Nichols‏Verified account @RadioFreeTom 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @RadioFreeTom @MrQuindazzi and

          This is why I brought up historical revisionism. The question of Truman and the bomb is still intimately bound up with the feelings modern historians have about nuclear weapons and the origins of the Cold War.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        9. End of conversation

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