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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      Truman and Byrnes thought otherwise. And hey — I am OK with people saying, "I think they were right." But you make it sound like it was an unassailable thing. In fact it was one of the major decisions Truman made, and should be recognized as such, rightly or wrongly.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      And — just to make it clear — my "goal" here is to emphasize the decisions and the choices, the areas of contingency and individual agency. Both because many people mis-locate them (e.g., in the "decision to use the bomb," which didn't happen), and because

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      there are a lot of narratives that stress inevitability (which is a form of responsibility-dodging). Whether people think the choices were good or bad is a separate question from indicating what the choices were.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      2. You're repeating the old "bombs versus invasion" line — and one of my points (and every scholar in the last 15-20 years?) is that this wasn't actually the choice as anyone saw it in 1945. That's an after-the-fact justification, one cooked up only after the bombs "worked."

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      This is an important thing to wrestle with, because OBVIOUSLY if the choice is "drop two atomic bombs OR suffer a terrible invasion that kills huge numbers of Americans and Japanese" the only appropriate response is the former.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      But as many historians have documented, that WASN'T how any American policymakers saw it in July 1945. Their plan was bomb AND invade. Several top-level people (Groves made it very explicit) thought it would take upwards of EIGHT atomic bombs to end the war.

      1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
    7. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      Obviously these folks couldn't predict the future. And if the bombs COULD end the war prior to an invasion — sure, that's a benefit. But if you buy into the "bomb or invade" framework, you're already prejudicing the results, and repeating a myth.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      There were MANY reasons that US policymakers saw dropping the bombs as beneficial to US interests. (Real human beings, of course, can have multiple motivations, and many people were involved in this work, and so many motivations were mixed in.)

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      I'm not trying to imply that these were bad motivations or good motivations, as an aside. Even the one that is often trotted out as the "bad" motivation (show the Soviets who is boss, which Byrnes definitely expressed), is, as part of other motivations, not necessarily terrible.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      Separately, the goal of my Tweetstorm was to emphasize instead of seeing it as "bomb versus invade," the real question is "bomb 2 cities with 2 bombs in 3 days versus a lot of possibilities." The *specifics* of what occurred were not dictated by strategy, and

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

      those specifics matter in terms of human impact, perception, etc. (The thread is not really about whether the bombs should have been dropped, but contextualizing historical discussions about whether the *second bomb* in particular was strictly necessary, etc.)

      2:22 PM - 10 Aug 2018
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      • Brian Dell Rey Julmy
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        2. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

          And when I talk about alternatives (on which I have written at length), I am not necessarily saying any one of them would have lead to a better world. My goal, again, is to emphasize that there were more than two options (bomb vs. invade) on the table.http://blog.nuclearsecrecy.com/2015/08/03/were-there-alternatives-to-the-atomic-bombings/ …

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

          And not (to reiterate) because I think that one or the other was better, but rather to stimulate historical engagement beyond the simple "should they have dropped the bomb" story that most people know, which utterly lacks important nuance and is misleading.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

          3. You have, I think, overgeneralized the US attitudes towards bombing (conventional and atomic) at the top. There were several conflicting views. Again, Stimson is useful for demonstrating this — he clearly thought the area bombing in Japan was verging on war-crime territory.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        5. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

          He told Truman they were going to get the reputation for outdoing Hitler in atrocities — a pretty big statement to make to your boss, the President! I emphasize this because the "flattening" of historical attitudes into "everyone thought it was morally unproblematic" is wrong.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

          And by that I mean, demonstrably historically incorrect, a curious anachronism of its own, again as a way to dodge the question in the present day. Stimson (who exerted a lot of influence on the bombing decisions) *clearly* felt the atomic bomb presented new moral questions.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

          Truman himself *clearly* indicated, especially in the early postwar, that the atomic bomb presented severe moral hazards. That doesn't mean that they decided not to use it, obviously. But it does mean that we can't just wave it away as "this is how people thought in WWII."

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        8. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

          4. Lastly — the reason to focus on the high-level discussions (which did, at times, explicitly reference popular opinion) is because these people made the decisions. It is important to focus on which decisions were made, and which were not, which is part of my overall point.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        9. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

          Decisions not made by Truman: whether or not to use the bomb. That was already in motion, clearly, and there was no question by anyone that Truman would intervene. Unsurprisingly, he didn't. The focus on that "decision" is, historians have known for a long time now, misplaced.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        10. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 10 Aug 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @baseballcrank

          Decisions actually made by Truman: 1. Whether to tell Stalin much about the bomb (no). 2. Whether to modify unconditional surrender (no). 3. Whether the city of Kyoto should be bombed (no). 4. Whether to continue bombing after Nagasaki (no).

          3 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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