Upon defeating Japan, Stalin said: “For forty years we, people of the older generation, waited for this day” — reclaiming the whole of Sakhalin, Kamchatka, and the Kurils. There was no way the USSR would aide with Japan. Truman had a horrible choice on his watch. What-if is easyhttps://twitter.com/wellerstein/status/1027574332044783616 …
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(And they knew about splits in Japanese high command through intercepted and decrypted Japanese diplomatic cables.) I'm not saying they ought to have done one thing or another — just that these were the options on the table, as seen at the time.
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