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wellerstein's profile
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Alex Wellerstein
Verified account
@wellerstein

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Alex WellersteinVerified account

@wellerstein

Historian of science, secrecy, and nuclear weapons. Professor of STS at @FollowStevens. UC Berkeley alum with a Harvard PhD. NUKEMAP creator. Coder and web dev.

Hoboken, NJ / NYC
blog.nuclearsecrecy.com
Joined September 2011

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    1. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 9 Jul 2018
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @NuclearAnthro

      "Other": probably played a role in the decision of the Japanese to accept unconditional surrender, but it is hard to disentangle their effect from other events that happened simultaneously. (AKA the annoying historian answer: "it's too complicated for a simple yes/no!")

      1 reply 0 retweets 33 likes
    2. Martin “Doomsday” Pfeiffer (⧖)  🏳️‍🌈‏ @NuclearAnthro 9 Jul 2018
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @wellerstein

      A good answer. :) I know it’s a forced binary but it’s reflective of some of what is coming out of some my written data & I wanted to poke at that in an interactive situation to see what responses would be. Thank you for voting! BTW, I DM’d you a CFP of potential interest.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Martin “Doomsday” Pfeiffer (⧖)  🏳️‍🌈‏ @NuclearAnthro 9 Jul 2018
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      Replying to @NuclearAnthro @wellerstein

      Side note- did the Japanese accept unconditional surrender? The Byrnes note?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 9 Jul 2018
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      Replying to @NuclearAnthro

      They offered conditional surrender on August 10th. The US rejected this and dropped some more conventional bombs on them while they had an attempted coup. Then on August 14th the Emperor gave his radio broadcast accepting unconditional surrender.

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    5. Jennifer Eager‏ @JennyImpatient 9 Jul 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @NuclearAnthro

      I thought the US allowed one condition, that Emperor Hirohito be kept as a figurehead? From what I read, the US felt they had no time to reject that condition because the Soviets were cutting through Korea like butter, after having conquered Manchuria in less than a week.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 9 Jul 2018
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      Replying to @JennyImpatient @NuclearAnthro

      They required and accepted unconditional surrender and then, later decided to allow him as a figurehead. Which is to say: if they knew they were going to do that (it isn't clear they did), they COULD have offered conditional surrender (and maybe gotten it sooner), but didn't.

      3 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    7. Martin “Doomsday” Pfeiffer (⧖)  🏳️‍🌈‏ @NuclearAnthro 9 Jul 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein

      My understanding was that Byrnes Note comment about ultimate form of Japanese gov being chosen by Japanese was nod to keeping emperor as Japanese were unlikely to dump Him?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 9 Jul 2018
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      Replying to @NuclearAnthro

      It is deliberately vague, but the Japanese were worried that the Emperor would be tried as a war criminal, for example. The Byrnes note deliberately does not diverge from Potsdam which deliberately does not clarify these issues.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    9. Martin “Doomsday” Pfeiffer (⧖)  🏳️‍🌈‏ @NuclearAnthro 9 Jul 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein

      So it was deliberately set up to avoid commitments but also to encourage interpretations of a commitment/likelihood re: the Emperor?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 9 Jul 2018
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      Replying to @NuclearAnthro

      I don't think it was set up to very encouraging. Saying, "after a lengthy occupation, we're gonna let the people decide how the government works from then on (if we don't have you executed first)" is not very encouraging.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 9 Jul 2018
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      Replying to @wellerstein @NuclearAnthro

      This is why essentially only the Emperor could make the move to accept the surrender conditions. Nobody else in the high command would have put him on the line like that.

      6:07 PM - 9 Jul 2018
      • 3 Likes
      • Dan Bentley Martin “Doomsday” Pfeiffer (⧖) 🏳️‍🌈 Jennifer Eager
      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        1. Martin “Doomsday” Pfeiffer (⧖)  🏳️‍🌈‏ @NuclearAnthro 9 Jul 2018
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @wellerstein

          Gotcha! BEFORE AND AFTER CAT PICTURE OF APPRECIATION! Jupiter: now big and with fewer teeth!pic.twitter.com/E63PN1KHUb

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        2. Chris Levesque‏ @Chris_Levesque_ 9 Jul 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @NuclearAnthro

          I'm just gonna leave this here since I head home from the library shortly and need to run our shutdown procedures:https://foreignpolicy.com/2013/05/30/the-bomb-didnt-beat-japan-stalin-did/ …

          1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
        3. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 9 Jul 2018
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          Replying to @Chris_Levesque_ @NuclearAnthro

          Yeah I don't totally see eye to eye with Ward on this (which he knows and is a good sport about). I certainly agree the Soviet declaration of war was a large part of it. But whether things would have been different without the bomb... I don't think we have the evidence to say.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Alex Wellerstein‏Verified account @wellerstein 9 Jul 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @Chris_Levesque_ @NuclearAnthro

          (Or without the invasion, for that matter.)

          2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        5. Martin “Doomsday” Pfeiffer (⧖)  🏳️‍🌈‏ @NuclearAnthro 9 Jul 2018
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          Replying to @wellerstein @Chris_Levesque_

          Time machine! How many times to run the experiment b/f we can get a p < .05 out of it?

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        6. End of conversation

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