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If you can't see that the risk of deterrence failing is not constant, but contextual... then you're gonna have a hard time understanding history. Both Cuban Missile Crisis and the War Scare of '83 were a result of bad policies. There are better and worse ways to do deterrence.
And I guess what I'm saying is, if you're going to say, "oh, the people in favor of deterrence rather than preventative war aren't stating how much they don't think deterrence is a permanently stable solution," fine, BUT —
you've also gotta admit, straight up, that your own "rational" approach would have led to a slaughter that would have made WWII look tame, and possibly (depends on the megatonnage) put much of the world at risk anyway from the knock-off effects.
Wait—I think this is your approach! The world was definitely at high risk during Cold War. A nuke exchange in 1983 would indeed have made WW2 look tame, and knock on effects would have put much of the world at risk
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