There might be some frog-boiling going on re: e.g. self-driving cars. We're familiar w/ the concept but don't fully grok the economic shock.
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If you aren't worried re: technological job loss, you probably either underestimate ML or overestimate the competence of your government.
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Things will be safer, cheaper, better. But the value of most human labor will drop to ~$0/hr, and we are woefully unprepared to adapt.
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"Luddite" is a distraction. The solution isn't stopping tech progress; we're not globally coordinated enough to do that even if we wanted to
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But yes, I think planning for a world in which most human labor is worthless is scary to people invested in the idea of merit-based wealth
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I don't have high confidence re: which human work will be last to go ("smart people do this" isn't a good proxy for "won't be replaced")...
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...but "people who can't float prolly totally fucked" is what I hope we can avoid by anticipating & restructuring for a post-labor society.
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We probably do have enough time for a smart transition, but once the tech is there it'll be copied & implemented rapidly. Gotta think ahead.
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I think serious economic groans aren't far off & will precede AGI. Softening the blow is probably vital to keeping AGI safety work on track.
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