I'm pretty confident that the election tomorrow is going to be close. Two key factors: (1) the "shy Trump voter" effect/preference falsification in polling (as in 2016), (2) increased voter interest & turnout. I think these pull in different directions. I give a Trump win ~30-40%
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As usual, this comes down to what you think a handful of states will do. I think Pennsylvania and Arizona both have a pretty good shot at being pivotal. I won't be surprised if both go to either Trump or Biden.
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Replying to @webdevMason
I think the "blue shift" factor is in play. We likely won't know the results, the day of. Mail-in voters tend to be democrats and the counting may just take a while.
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