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I don't know what the complex, fast-paced effort to study hydroxychloroquine will ultimately conclude about its efficacy, but I continue to be freaked out by the politicization of a legitimate drug. Insofar as it's preventing physicians from exercising their own judgment, yikes.https://twitter.com/robbystarbuck/status/1287945512054853633 …
I think it's frankly incredible that any journalist is this certain that they're right about hydroxychloroquine. It's much easier for me to condemn that than to condemn a doctor whose patients seem to be defying expected mortality rates, even if that turns out to be good luck.
For what it's worth, I think both sides of this are handling the question poorly, and frankly everyone should be highly skeptical of any claim that a certain drug definitely does or does not work against a virus that almost everyone was unaware even existed until 6-7 months ago.
Problem here is twofold: 1. EpiTwitter’s screaming about HCQ being actually dangerous is blatantly false and betrays agenda. 2. The speaker in the viral video is a known homophobe. This doesn’t necessarily mean she’s wrong, but it’s not a good look.https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Mnu_h4gz-O4&feature=emb_logo&time_continue=5 …
Don’t trust Dr. Bergstrom, but don’t take Dr. Immanuel’s emotive prose as truth either.
This is a very similar process to how bad science gets done (even without politics). Bad data chases out good. If a drug is very effective, that shows up in all studies. If it's ineffective or marginal, it only shows up in poor studies or in p-hacked ones.
Lots of nutrition science follows this same pattern- saturated fats, Vitamin D, carbs vs fats, etc... Generally the better the quality of the study, the less effect any treatment shows. But someone motivated to show an effect will always point to the bad data and ignore good.
It may be that what is worse than this pandemic is the politicization of this pandemic. It is in times like this that people like Taleb, whose blast radius hits all sides, are sorely needed.
I'm mum on the politicization aspect, but as someone who has run studies on humans, this was not a randomized, double-blind experiment, which makes the conclusions very unclear and in serious need of (randomized, double-blind) replication. I wouldn't trust them for public health.
Science reporters who make this (singular, not necessarily well-run) experiment sound like a success are as much of the problem (including the media outlets that run them), IMO.
Oh, it's convenient that a dude who worked for Barbara Boxer's office is now using his position at Facebook to decide that licensed physicians, who were publicized by a conservative site, are spreading misinformation. I guess doing "comms" for a senator is like being a doctor.
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