In SF, people are still not permitted to gather in groups of >12. Even outdoors. Even with full mask & distancing compliance. Even for weddings. Even for funerals. Whatever you think of the protests, they have *got* to be wearing down the sense of solidarity required for this.
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Many of us knew or suspected from the beginning that a lot of what has been dictated by COVID health orders couldn't effectively be enforced on individuals in the US. We have been relying on enforcement on businesses/orgs + a shared social responsibility. The latter is shattered
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Basically, the sum of the available toolkit in the US amounts only to half-measures, and those measures are the same ones that are leaving [probably lifelong] scars on the earning potential of new entrants to the labor market + upwardly-mobile blue collar biz owners + their staff
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Meanwhile, people who follow the rules can protect *themselves* from the virus, but at the cost of nearly every protective factor we've identified against the ever-rising "deaths of despair": suicide, alcoholism and drug abuse. And without broader compliance, COVID still spikes.
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At this point, urban centers need to figure out what policy is sustainable on a timescale of *years* and start moving toward that. The days of "if we just do this for 6-8 weeks..." are over. Cities like SF got their 2 months of solid compliance and they largely squandered it.
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Replying to @webdevMason
No one wants to hear this, but the likely answer is that no policy is sustainable over that long. “You’re not allowed to live” is unsustainable, and living will produce spread. In the absence of a vaccine the virus will spread and we will reach herd immunity, as per history.
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Mostly agree. I think the only reasonable long-term strategies will involve lower-cost norms like mask-wearing and removing regulatory barriers that have previously made it difficult or impractical to do business outdoors, on public sidewalks etc.
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Replying to @webdevMason @TheAgeofShoddy
suspect we are down to only the protective measures that individuals employ out of fear. probably means more illicit business, labor violations, and the poor going into danger.
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