Preference falsification is going to be an even greater factor in November than it was in 2016, which will make it very difficult to use traditional strategies (e.g. polling) to model likely outcomes. I think we're basically going to be flying blind until election day
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I think a lot of those people probably did like Johnson, and it was MUCH more socially acceptable to like Johnson than to like Trump I think a lot of people didn't want to admit to themselves that they were going to vote for someone their friends/loved ones absolutely hated
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There isn't a strong-ish third party candidate this time (in my opinion), so I think people may tell pollsters they're undecided or plan not to vote... and then vote for Trump again, it's not clear whether they'll believe what they're saying at the time that they say it
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Oh I see, actually being in the booth and seeing the form could have made them think more and reveal their actual preference. I have *heard* in here in Australia that it is commonplace to lie to pollsters.
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