relevant book: https://smile.amazon.com/Private-Truths-Public-Lies-Falsification/dp/0674707583 … relevant podcast: https://youtu.be/xzjqjU2FOwA
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Preference falsification is going to be an even greater factor in November than it was in 2016, which will make it very difficult to use traditional strategies (e.g. polling) to model likely outcomes. I think we're basically going to be flying blind until election day
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It's an oversimplification, but IMO it really matters whether your opponents think you're stupid or evil. Stupid, and they'll try to hurt your feelings. Evil, and they'll ruin your life Overall, Trump voters think Biden voters are stupid. Biden voters think Trump voters are evil
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and yes, I do think most people should worry less about political enlightment and the higher goal of becoming completely nonreactive to political opponents and instead focus on just seeing the people who disagree with them as stupid and probably not evil
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End of conversation
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@timurkuran changed the way I think about the world -
Thank you for that generous compliment.
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Or maybe Walletpoll could be the solution.
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this is an *amazing* test case!
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In fact http://www.walletpoll.com could give voice to true protestors without rioters and other elements muddying the waters
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I think comparing Biden vs Hillary in the primaries is useful info though. Her shock loss was because of around 70k votes in PA/MI/WI where she was also weak vs. Bernie. But Biden crushed in the Midwest.
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Why would it be greater than in 2016?
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