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webdevMason's profile
Mason 🏃‍♂️✂️
Mason 🏃‍♂️✂️
Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️
@webdevMason

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Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️

@webdevMason

LA → Oakland
calendly.com/masonhartman
Joined July 2015

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    Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason Jun 3
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    Preference falsification is going to be an even greater factor in November than it was in 2016, which will make it very difficult to use traditional strategies (e.g. polling) to model likely outcomes. I think we're basically going to be flying blind until election day

    7:05 AM - 3 Jun 2020
    • 15 Retweets
    • 290 Likes
    • anon e9duj1 Dav Gwac FatFisz JT Tyler Steven Miller Andrew Beck .³
    17 replies 15 retweets 290 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason Jun 3
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        relevant book: https://smile.amazon.com/Private-Truths-Public-Lies-Falsification/dp/0674707583 … relevant podcast: https://youtu.be/xzjqjU2FOwA 

        2 replies 2 retweets 47 likes
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      3. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason Jun 3
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        It's an oversimplification, but IMO it really matters whether your opponents think you're stupid or evil. Stupid, and they'll try to hurt your feelings. Evil, and they'll ruin your life Overall, Trump voters think Biden voters are stupid. Biden voters think Trump voters are evil

        9 replies 6 retweets 75 likes
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      4. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason Jun 3
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        and yes, I do think most people should worry less about political enlightment and the higher goal of becoming completely nonreactive to political opponents and instead focus on just seeing the people who disagree with them as stupid and probably not evil

        3 replies 0 retweets 49 likes
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      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Sashin‏ @sashintweets Jun 3
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        Replying to @webdevMason

        This is just a clinical way of saying lying, right?

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason Jun 3
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        Replying to @sashintweets

        kinda, but it's possibly subtler than that at the edges... 2016 saw substantial support for Johnson, but when the election came his support collapsed and most of those votes appear to have gone to Trump — it's not clear if people had been lying to themselves or just to pollsters

        3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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      2. Jinson Jose‏ @jinsonjose Jun 3
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        Replying to @webdevMason

        Or maybe Walletpoll could be the solution. 😉

        2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️‏ @webdevMason Jun 3
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        Replying to @jinsonjose

        this is an *amazing* test case!

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Kevin Schawinski‏Verified account @kevinschawinski Jun 3
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        Replying to @webdevMason

        @timurkuran changed the way I think about the world

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. Timur Kuran‏ @timurkuran Jun 3
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        Replying to @kevinschawinski @webdevMason

        Thank you for that generous compliment.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Eli Dourado‏Verified account @elidourado Jun 3
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        Replying to @webdevMason

        Betting markets can help!https://elidourado.com/election/ 

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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