relevant book: https://smile.amazon.com/Private-Truths-Public-Lies-Falsification/dp/0674707583 … relevant podcast: https://youtu.be/xzjqjU2FOwA
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Preference falsification is going to be an even greater factor in November than it was in 2016, which will make it very difficult to use traditional strategies (e.g. polling) to model likely outcomes. I think we're basically going to be flying blind until election day
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It's an oversimplification, but IMO it really matters whether your opponents think you're stupid or evil. Stupid, and they'll try to hurt your feelings. Evil, and they'll ruin your life Overall, Trump voters think Biden voters are stupid. Biden voters think Trump voters are evil
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and yes, I do think most people should worry less about political enlightment and the higher goal of becoming completely nonreactive to political opponents and instead focus on just seeing the people who disagree with them as stupid and probably not evil
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This is just a clinical way of saying lying, right?
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kinda, but it's possibly subtler than that at the edges... 2016 saw substantial support for Johnson, but when the election came his support collapsed and most of those votes appear to have gone to Trump — it's not clear if people had been lying to themselves or just to pollsters
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Or maybe Walletpoll could be the solution.
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this is an *amazing* test case!
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@timurkuran changed the way I think about the world -
Thank you for that generous compliment.
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