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webdevMason's profile
Mason 🏃‍♂️✂️𐃏
Mason 🏃‍♂️✂️𐃏
Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️𐃏
@webdevMason

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Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️𐃏

@webdevMason

Chicken farmer, goat procurer, wolfdog breeder

Utah
patreon.com/masonhartman
Joined July 2015

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    Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️𐃏‏ @webdevMason 11 Apr 2020

    It was only a week ago that the CDC started recommending we cover our faces when we're out. 2 weeks ago an epidemiologist was telling me people shouldn't wear cloth masks because they might *increase* the risk of COVID. I want to know how to put skin in the game for expertise.pic.twitter.com/jTnnGc4NHE

    4:54 PM - 11 Apr 2020
    • 23 Retweets
    • 271 Likes
    • , Often Wrong 🤷🏻‍♀️ Kalin Harvey Daniel Sternfeld Kaspar Hauser Pete Wensleydale pucci Joscha Bach
    16 replies 23 retweets 271 likes
      1. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️𐃏‏ @webdevMason 11 Apr 2020

        Most of what we call "expertise" is just people running decent checklist scripts; that's only OK if everyone understands that A few folks have enough of a real model to generate novel stuff with a higher hit rate than noise, but no institution is competent enough to certify them

        12 replies 29 retweets 245 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Neeraj K. Agrawal‏ @NeerajKA 11 Apr 2020
        Replying to @webdevMason

        This affair has made me wonder how much confidently shared expert knowledge is just trickled just down parroting

        5 replies 9 retweets 83 likes
      3. Free Explorer‏ @COVIDRisk 11 Apr 2020
        Replying to @NeerajKA @webdevMason

        Unfortunately, more than I suspected.pic.twitter.com/70DHch8xo7

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Jordan Moore‏ @jordanmoore 11 Apr 2020
        Replying to @webdevMason

        I just don’t get it. I can’t understand why they couldn’t even exercise the precautionary principle in saying that some form of barrier is *likely* better than nothing.

        3 replies 0 retweets 18 likes
      3. Mason  🏃‍♂️ ✂️𐃏‏ @webdevMason 11 Apr 2020
        Replying to @jordanmoore

        She saw that there was an RCT that concluded that cloth masks increase risk. In reality, the control was too poorly designed to be useful & the conclusion required pulling in comparison data that should never have been used. But "RCT" is a magic word that terminates the script.

        1 reply 1 retweet 36 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. S‏ @OHSNLobby 11 Apr 2020
        Replying to @webdevMason

        Online $ prediction markets must MERGE with pandemic modelling. Scientists have risk of large payoff if their model is highly accurate, and risk downside if not. (Side markets of people betting on them might help, too)

        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
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      1. Vishnu‏ @vishnusupreet 11 Apr 2020
        Replying to @webdevMason

        experts don't know shit, few years ago I got h1n1, was prescribed oseltamir well after the 36-48 hour time frame when its supposed to be effective. had a massive reaction, doctor asked to consume the entire regimen would have died of liver failure if I had followed his advice

        0 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
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      1. Risk Designer‏ @riskdesigner 11 Apr 2020
        Replying to @webdevMason

        https://medium.com/p/4ef05aa357c5?source=linkShare-72308c464041-1586107578 …

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Shashank‏ @shacrw_ 11 Apr 2020
        Replying to @webdevMason

        i appreciated it before but now I like @balajis 's profile description("not big on credentialism..") even more. im just wondering how much harm these profile descriptions have caused, like people see a tweet, visit profile, see they're an epidemiologist, tweet"hey, they're right"

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Sven Schnieders‏ @SvenSchnieders 12 Apr 2020
        Replying to @webdevMason @StephenPiment

        Sven Schnieders Retweeted Sven Schnieders

        Another case where using the heuristic "Never listen to anyone with pronouns in their bio" makes life much easier. Trusting "experts" is always a mistake—reasoning through everything by yourself is the only option in times like these.https://twitter.com/SvenSchnieders/status/1247939379886260224?s=19 …

        Sven Schnieders added,

        Sven Schnieders @SvenSchnieders
        Never mistake the opinion of an authority for the truth—it will kill you in the long run.
        3 replies 1 retweet 15 likes
      3. Tucker Max‏Verified account @TuckerMax 12 Apr 2020
        Replying to @SvenSchnieders @webdevMason @StephenPiment

        I've never seen an exception to the pronoun rule. It's an amazing heuristic thus far.

        3 replies 1 retweet 22 likes
      4. Show replies

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